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Yankees vs Tigers Prediction 9/11/25 MLB Picks Today

Detroit Tigers (84-62) vs. NY Yankees (80-65)
September 11, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -169 / Detroit Tigers +138; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the New York Yankees meet Thursday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Tyler Holton for the start here and Holton is 5-4 with a 3.80 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Cam Schlittler will get the start for the Yankees here and is 2-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. 

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 11-1 win over the Yankees last time out to improve to 84-62 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Tigers Win Back-To-Back Games

Spencer Torkelson has 117 hits along with a .234 batting average including 28 home runs, 26 doubles and 72 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 23 home runs and 55 RBIs while Riley Greene has 143 hits with 29 doubles, 32 home runs and 103 RBIs but also has a team-high 179 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 12 home runs and 52 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 21 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs and 48 RBIs of his own along with 111 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 98 hits and 17 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Colt Keith also has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Yankees.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against teams that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Riley Greene ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Tigers on Wednesday to sit at 80-65 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Yankees Looking To Avoid Sweep

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 154 hits including 43 home runs, 97 RBIs, 28 doubles and a .321 batting average along with 11 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 29 doubles with 16 stolen bases, 19 home runs and 70 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 17 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 123 hits with 30 doubles and a .277 batting average while Volpe also has 138 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 23 home runs and 54 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 27 homers with 88 RBIs and Austin Wells has 20 home runs and 65 RBIs with Bellinger logging 24 doubles and Wells chipping in 19 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 30 home runs and 64 RBIs and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 28 home runs and 70 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 night games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
  • The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a win.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last five road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Tigers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I don’t love Tyler Holton, and it looks like it could be a bit of a bullpen game for the Tigers in this one. However, I think the Yankees have lost the benefit of the doubt in their showings in the first two games of this series. The Yankees have just looked brutal in this series, and the value for me is on Detroit in this one. Give me the Tigers here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +138

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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