In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 9th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 82-61 this year after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 7-1, 1-3, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Toronto tied the game at three in the third inning, but failed to score in the final six innings for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Lukes, Kiner-Falefa, and Guerrero Jr, who all had one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Scherzer, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Borucki threw 1.2 scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. Toronto has won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 715 runs with a .269 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs, while George Springer has added 27 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 9-5 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 154.2 innings pitched this year.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 78-66 this season after they lost two out of three against Texas by scores of 3-4, 11-0, and 2-4. In their game three loss, Houston cut the deficit to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the defeat. The Astros recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pena and Diaz, who both had one RBI in the loss. Houston started Valdez, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Kimbrel finished the game.
Prior to that series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Yankees and split four games with the Angels. Houston has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 609 runs with a .253 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 76 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Luis Garcia, who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 0.50 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Astros will beat the Blue Jays
- The Astros have won each of their last 11 night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 11 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Astros’ last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games against AL West opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against the Astros.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 home games against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two night games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Garcia has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four road games against the Blue Jays.
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series leading their respective divisions, but both leads are shrinking, so this is a very important series. The Astros are 35-34 on the road this year, while the Jays are 45-24 at home. Toronto is starting Berrios, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Houston is going with Garcia, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings in his first start of the season. I liked how Garcia started his season and I think he will only get stronger. Take Houston at home.