In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 25th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Red Sox Continue to Play Well
The Boston Red Sox are 43-36 this season and they have won three games in a row. Boston won game one in this series by a score of 7-6 on Monday night with a walk-off win. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Reds, swept the Blue Jays in three games, and won two out of three against the Yankees. Boston is 8-1 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East standings.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 370 runs with a .255 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .293 with seven home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least seven runs in six of their last nine games.
Blue Jays Trying to Snap Skid
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-43 this year and they have lost seven games in a row. Toronto dropped game one in this series on Monday night, despite having a four run lead in the eighth inning. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost all three against the Guardians, lost all three against the Red Sox, and won two out of three against the Guardians. Toronto is 2-9 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 302 runs with a .233 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .286 with 10 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least six runs in five straight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 7-4 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. Bello has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-6 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts.
Why the Boston Red Sox will beat the Blue Jays
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have won three of their last four games at Fenway Park.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday home games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against the Red Sox.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Red Sox’s last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against the Blue Jays.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six home games against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Red Sox.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 15 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances at Fenway Park.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Boston continues to string wins together during this hot streak and they are trying to catch the Yankees and Orioles at the top of the AL East. The Red Sox offense is red hot right now, while Toronto is really struggling with their pitching. The Blue Jays are starting Kevin Gausman, who has had issues recently. The Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello, who has not been very good over the last few weeks. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game and my Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for this game to go over the total.