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Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 6-25-24 Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates (37-40) vs. Cincinnati Reds (36-41)
June 25, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -120 / Pittsburgh Pirates +102; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

Pittsburgh took on the Tampa Bay Rays in their weekend series. The Pirates split the first two games of that set 10-3 (loss) and 4-3 (win) before falling 3-1 in the finale. On Monday versus the Reds, Pittsburgh coughed up five runs in the fourth inning on the way to an 11-5 loss. Starter Bailey Falter went 4.0 innings with four earned on five hits and a walk.

In the starter slot for the Tuesday game the Pirates will send out Mitch Keller. This year Keller is 8-4 with a 3.11 ERA in 15 starts. Keller has a 33-42 career record with a 4.47 ERA in 117 games (115 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. Cincinnati won 5-2 in the opener of that series but then took losses 4-3 and 7-4 to drop the series. In the Monday game the Reds had 12 team hits along the way to the victory. Carson Spiers put up 6.0 innings with three earned runs as starter.

It’ll be Hunter Greene in the starter role for the Reds on Tuesday. So far this season Greene is 5-2 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 starts. Greene is 14-22 with a  4.27 ERA in 61 starts over his MLB career.

Reds vs Pirates Pick Injury Notes

Pirates catcher Henry Davis (concussion) has resumed most baseball activities. SP Marco Gonzales (forearm) will throw live batting practice at Double-A Altoona on Wednesday.

X-rays on Reds CF Will Benson’s elbow came back negative.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Pirates’ last nine games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Reds’ last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Pirates and Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four home games against the Pirates.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one Single in six of the Reds’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Hunter Greene has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded two hits in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded five or more total bases in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Keller has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 21 games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 21 games.
  • Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Reds.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded an RBI in each of the Pirates’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Keller has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Double in three of the Pirates’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jack Suwinski has scored a run in each of his last six road appearances.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’ll stay with the Reds. Greene had a bit of a sketchy outing on June 6 versus the Cubs with 6.2 innings and four earned—but still took the win. Since then Greene has been pretty darn good with 11.1 combined innings and two earned on five hits and five walks over two starts.

On Monday the Reds had a huge offensive effort overall with two big innings. That said, Cincinnati did give up 10 hits (Spiers had seven). Cincinnati should keep it rolling Tuesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -120

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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