The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet on Tuesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will start Zack Wheeler here, and Wheeler is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Wheeler is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts. The Atlanta Braves will start Chris Sale here, and Sale is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 32 strikeouts against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies will be out to build some steam after their series win against the Los Angeles Dodgers this past weekend after an 8-7 win over Los Angeles in Sunday’s series finale to improve to 7-2 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a set against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Phillies Win Third Straight Series To Start The Year
Kyle Schwarber has 9 hits, including a team-high 4 home runs and 8 RBIs, with a .265 batting average, while Edmundo Sosa has a team-high 11 hits with 4 doubles, and Bryson Stott and Max Kepler each have a pair of doubles as well this season. Trea Turner has a team-high 3 stolen bases as well this season, while Bryce Harper, Schwarber, and Stott each have a team-high 9 strikeouts as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a home win.
- The Braves have lost 10 of their last 11 games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a home win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 night games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (4) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will try to rebound after falling short in their series finale against the Miami Marlins following a 4-0 loss in Saturday’s matchup before Sunday’s postponement to sit at 1-8 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Braves Looking To Right The Ship
Michael Harris II leads the Braves with 8 hits this season, including a pair of doubles, while Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, and Marcell Ozuna all have a team-high 5 RBIs, with Albies and Olson each chipping in 7 hits. Olson has added 3 doubles as well on the year, while Ozuna has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Braves with 13 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last 23 Tuesday night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost nine of their last 10 night games at Truist Park following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Phillies.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Tuesday appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.500) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Fifteen of the Braves’ last 17 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Phillies’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. It’s hard to turn down a reasonable price with an ace-level pitcher like Chris Sale, but the thing is that the Braves no longer deserve the benefit of the doubt. They’re just struggling to put it all together right now. Zack Wheeler has been a hard-luck pitcher for the better part of the last couple of seasons, but the thing is that he has the offense to back him up. The Phillies have been doing a solid job against left-handed pitching in their opportunities against southpaws so far this season. I’ll roll with the Phillies in this one.