In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 28, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (48-34, 22-20 Away) responded magnificently to a three-game series sweep at the hands of the Houston Astros with a massive 13-0 win over the Atlanta Braves. That was a great offensive response to a miserable one run scored in three losses against Houston. Nick Castellanos and Otto Kemp led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Taijuan Walker got the win after allowing no runs on one hit with one strikeout and two walks in 2.0 innings.
This season, the Phillies average 4.67 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .256/.330/.405 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (10th) and 1.26 WHIP (16th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .247 batting average, 25 home runs, and 57 RBI this season.
Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Phillies on Saturday. The 27-year-old left-hander has a 7-3 record in 16 starts this year with a 4.08 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 90.1 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (37-44, 22-16 Home) lost a series to the Miami Marlins and then split with the New York Mets despite having a 2-0 lead after the first two games. In Game 1 of the current series against Philly, the Braves suffered a 13-0 defeat, which makes it two straight games without scoring a single run. Bryce Elder took the loss after allowing ten runs (nine earned) on eight hits with two strikeouts and four walks in 2.0 innings.
This year, the Braves average 4.10 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .243/.318/.379 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.82 ERA (12th) and 1.24 WHIP (13th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .256 batting average, 15 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 6-4 in 16 starts this season, with a 3.21 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 103.2 innings.
Why the Braves will beat the Phillies
- The Phillies have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a road win.
- The Braves have won each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Phillies’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Twenty-two of the Braves’ last 28 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Phillies’ last 13 games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (733).
- The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (627).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of seven H2Hs this season. I am going with the Braves on Saturday, because I like Spencer Schwellenbach more than Jesus Luzardo. Schwelly already faced the Phillies and was impressive for 6.0 innings, allowing only one run in a win. Luzardo was also a starter in that game and surrendered one run in 6.0 innings. Atlanta will be desperate to at least score a run after two scoreless games, but I think the hosts will snatch a victory in the end.