In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 3rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 15-19 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 3-12 home record and are coming off a 1-4 loss at home against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 1-6 loss at home against the Brewers, a 5-4 win and a 14-2 win on the road against the Mets.
The Nationals have a .239 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .384 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 27. James Wood adds a team‑high 10 home runs.
Zack Littell (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 0-4 record, 7.85 ERA and 1.74 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 18-14 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL Central. They have a 8-6 away record and are coming off a 4-1 win on the road against the Nationals. Their previous three games were a 6-1 win on the road against the Nationals, a 13-1 win and a 2-6 loss at home against the Diamondbacks.
The Brewers have a .242 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .359 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .308 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 23. Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
The Brewers have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: May 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell Record this season: 0-4 ERA: 7.85
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 12 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The road team has won each of the last eight games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games at Nationals Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six home games.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in five of his last 13 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games against the Brewers.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.428) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (52).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (314).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (38).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for walks this season (153).
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Nationals and have won their last five visits in Washington.
In this Brewers vs Nationals Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -135 road favorites. The Brewers have not announced a pitcher but they will face Zack Littell who has been terrible this season and has 18 earned runs across his last three starts. Milwaukee has the 7th-best bullpen ERA and the third-best offense in baseball and are even better against right-handed pitching, with 5.9 runs/9 against righties. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 games while the Nats have been terrible at home. Take the Brewers to win this one.