In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 2, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals (2-3, 1-1 Away) lost the season’s opening series to the divisional rivals Cleveland Guardians, who won two of three games. The Royals then dismantled the Milwaukee Brewers 11-1 in Game 1 of a three-game series but lost the following tilt 5-0. Michael Lorenzen took a loss after allowing three runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and three walks in 5.1 innings.
This year, the Royals average 5.25 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .255/.329/.404 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (16th) and 1.29 WHIP (16th). Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with a .353 batting average, two home runs, and three RBI this season.
Cole Ragans will take the mound for the Royals on Wednesday. The 27-year-old southpaw had an 11-9 record last season in 32 starts with a 3.14 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 186.1 innings. This season, Ragans started in a no-decision against the Guardians (7-4 loss) and posted a 5.40 ERA in 5.0 innings.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (1-4, 1-1 Home) opened this season catastrophically with four consecutive defeats and with 47 conceded runs in the process! Following a disappointing 11-1 loss in the first game of the current series against the Royals, the Brewers responded with a 5-0 victory. Christian Yelich led the team with a homer and two RBI, while Chad Patrick allowed no runs on three hits with five strikeouts and three walks over 4.2 innings. Abner Uribe recorded a win.
This season, the Brewers average 3.75 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .225/.293/.324 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 12.27 ERA (30th) and 2.09 WHIP (30th). Jake Bauers leads the Brewers with a .400 batting average, one home run, and three RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, who had an 11-9 record in 32 starts last season with a 3.68 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 173.2 innings of work. Peralta took a loss against the Yankees this year and had a 3.60 ERA in 5.0 innings.
Why the Royals will beat the Brewers
- The Royals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home win.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Brewers will beat the Royals
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have lost each of their last four games at American Family Field following a road loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at American Family Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Royals’ last 12 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last three day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six day games at American Family Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Royals’ last five games.
Brewers vs Royals Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past few years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. The opening game of the series provided 12 runs, but Game 2 gave us just five runs, all scored by the Brewers. I expect another low-scoring affair as the teams will start their best pitchers. Ragans was solid in his lone H2H with Milwaukee last year, posting a 3.00 ERA in 6.0 innings, while Peralta allowed a .154 BA and two RBI in 26 at-bats against the Royals in his career. I am backing them both to have quality starts here. Go with Under.