In this article, we will formulate a Cardinals vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (56-49, 25-31 Away) beat the Washington Nationals, lost to the Miami Marlins, and are hoping to split the series with the Cardinals after losing two of three games so far. San Diego secured a 3-1 victory on Saturday. Randy Vasquez pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on one hit with two strikeouts and one walk. Jeremiah Estrada was credited with the win.
This year, the Padres average 3.97 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .247/.315/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.60 ERA (5th) and 1.23 WHIP (7th). Manny Machado leads the Padres with a .294 batting average, 19 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Stephen Kolek, who is 3-5 in 13 starts this season, with a 4.28 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 73.2 innings.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals (54-52, 31-21 Home) were swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks, lost to the Colorado Rockies, and beat the Padres in the opening two games of the current series. St. Louis then lost Game 3 on Saturday, 3-1. Jordan Walker drove in the lone run for the Cards, while Matthew Liberatore took the loss after allowing two runs (one earned) on five hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 4.1 innings.
This season, the Cardinals average 4.47 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .252/.321/.392 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cardinals’ staff has a 4.17 ERA (21st) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with a .264 batting average, 14 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.
Michael McGreevy will take the mound for the Cardinals on Sunday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 2-1 record in four starts this year with a 3.49 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 28.1 innings.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Padres
- The Cardinals have won nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine road games following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Busch Stadium.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Padres at Busch Stadium.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 day games at Busch Stadium against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Padres’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Padres and Cardinals at Busch Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cardinals’ last six home games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (282).
- The Cardinals rank 27th in the league for strikeouts this season (776).
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (793).
- The Padres rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction
The Cardinals won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. I am backing the Cards to get another win on Sunday because I prefer McGreevy to Kolek. McGreevy kept the opponents to below two runs in three of his five starts this year, and I think he has a good chance to get a quality start here. Kolek, on the other hand, allowed 3+ runs in five of the previous six starts, including nine in the last two. The Cardinals have an edge in this matchup. Back the hosts.