The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will start Ranger Suarez in this game and Suarez is 8-5 with a 2.94 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Reds, Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Brady Singer will get the nod for the Reds here and is 9-9 with a 4.53 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. This will be Singer’s first career start against the Phillies. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went 3.2 innings while giving up four earned runs.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Cincinnati Reds last time out to sit at 69-49 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.
Phillies Win 4 Straight
Nick Castellanos has 114 hits with 23 doubles including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 110 hits with a team-high 42 home runs and 97 RBIs but also has a team-high 140 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 49 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 135 hits with a team-high 26 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 16 doubles and Bryson Stott has 14 doubles, 3 triples, 7 homers and 47 RBIs while Stott also has 19 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have lost each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances at Great American Ball Park.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Great American Ball Park.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (42) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Phillies on Monday to slip to 62-58 on the year. After this series, the Reds will welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to town.
Reds Looking To Rebound
Elly De La Cruz has 127 hits with 19 home runs, 74 RBIs, 24 doubles and 31 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 115 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 39 RBIs with 11 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 95 hits with 20 doubles and 43 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 14 home runs and 54 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 11 homers, 39 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 19 doubles as well this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Brady Singer has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Will Benson has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Reds’ last 12 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Reds vs Phillies Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Phillies in this one. I get the case to be made for the Reds as a home dog, but I’m just not a fan of Brady Singer if I’m being 100% honest. Ranger Suarez has been up and down since the all-star break, but historically, he’s been solid in this ballpark, and the Phillies are just the hotter team playing better baseball right now. I’ll roll with the Philadelphia Phillies to get it done in this one.