In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 4th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 52-35 this season after they swept Cleveland in three games by scores of 5-2, 5-4, and 1-0. In their game three win, Chicago didn’t generate much at the plate, but they scored in the bottom of the 10th for the low-scoring win. The Cubs recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Shaw, who had the lone RBI in the game. Chicago started Horton, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Flexen picked up the win.
Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Astros and split four games with the Cardinals. Chicago has won four of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 464 runs with a .255 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 23 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 21 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 5-3 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 78.1 innings pitched this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 47-41 this year after they lost all three games against Pittsburgh by scores of 0-7, 0-1, and 0-5. In their game three loss, St. Louis fell behind in the second inning, and their offense failed to score any runs for the third straight game. The Cardinals recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Burleson, who went 1-2 with two walks in the loss. St. Louis started Gray, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while O’Brien allowed two hits and one earned run in relief.
Prior to that series, the Cardinals won all three against the Guardians and split four games with the Cubs. St. Louis has split their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 403 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs, and four stolen bases, while Nolan Arenado has added 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Miles Mikolas, who is 4-5 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 81.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cubs will beat the Cardinals
- The Cardinals have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Wrigley Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Cardinals.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last four home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine Friday games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six day games at Wrigley Field.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 games against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine games as road underdogs against the Cubs.
- Alec Burleson has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against the Cubs.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis comes into this series after getting shut out in three straight games, and they are desperately looking to score a run early in this game. The Cardinals are 21-24 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 28-15 at home. Chicago has played very well over the last 10 days, and they are starting Rea, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The Cardinals are starting Mikolas, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts, but has also allowed six earned runs in two of his last four. We cannot trust this St. Louis team right now, so I will back the Cubs -1.5 here.