Dodgers vs Astros Prediction 7/4/25 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Friday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dodgers vs Astros Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Lance McCullers Jr., and McCullers Jr. is 1-3 with a 6.61 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. In his career, McCullers Jr. is 1-0 with a 1.02 ERA and 22 strikeouts against the Dodgers. Ben Casparius will get the nod for the Dodgers here and is 6-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. This will be Casparius’ first career start against the Astros.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Colorado Rockies last time out to sit at 52-35 on the year. After this series, the Astros will head home for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Astros Win 8 Of Last 10 Despite Thursday’s Loss

Jose Altuve has 85 hits, including 11 doubles, 13 home runs, and 39 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 11 homers, and 40 RBIs with 15 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 14 doubles as well, and Christian Walker has 10 home runs and 39 RBIs, but has also accrued a team-high 93 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases, while Jake Meyers has 14 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 17 home runs with 47 RBIs of his own, and Cam Smith has contributed 7 homers and 38 RBIs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last six Friday games as underdogs.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Dodger Stadium following a loss.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in each of his last five appearances at Dodger Stadium against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Lance McCullers Jr. has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Astros as underdogs.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Jake Meyers ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to add on to their 6-2 win over the White Sox last time out to sit at 56-32 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Dodgers Win 4 In A Row

Shohei Ohtani has 96 hits, including 12 doubles, 30 home runs, 58 RBIs, and 7 triples, while Tommy Edman has 59 hits with 10 home runs and 38 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 42 hits with 11 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 72 hits with 14 home runs, 17 doubles, and 54 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 12 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 69 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 10 home runs and 43 RBIs on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 88 hits with a team-high 23 doubles, 10 home runs, and 47 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 92 hits with 15 doubles, 17 home runs, and 58 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have lost three of their last four games at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in each of the Dodgers’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Muncy has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.425) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last 11 games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Dodgers’ last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Dodgers vs Astros Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I just don’t love Lance McCullers Jr., and he’s been far too inconsistent in his limited action for me to trust in a spot like this. The Dodgers, for me at home, are just the better team. If this game were in Houston, maybe we would have another discussion, but in the end, I think the Dodgers get the job done in this one. Give me Los Angeles.