In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 27, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (34-45, 17-21 Away) are playing their best baseball of the season. Not only that they record their first back-to-back series wins after defeating the Braves and Giants, but they also recorded four consecutive wins for the first time this year. For the second time this season, the Marlins got a sweep, as they beat San Francisco in three games on the road. In Thursday’s 12-5 victory (season-high for runs scored), Agustin Ramirez and Kyle Stowers led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Janson Junk pitched for 3.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on eight hits with one strikeout and no walks. Josh Simpson was credited with the win.
This season, the Marlins average 4.18 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .254/.317/.387 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.85 ERA (26th) and 1.39 WHIP (25th). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .275 batting average, 12 home runs, and 38 RBI this season.
Eury Perez will take the mound for the Marlins on Friday. The 22-year-old left-hander has a 0-2 record in three starts this year with a 6.17 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 11.2 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (41-39, 20-18 Home) are returning home from a three-series road trip, during which they lost ot the Toronto Blue Jays and beat the Colorado Rockies and Chicago White Sox. The D-backs couldn’t complete a sweep of the White Sox, who secured a 7-3 W in Game 3. Josh Naylor led the offense with two RBI, while Zac Gallen took the loss after allowing five runs on eight hits with two strikeouts and one walk in 5.1 innings.
This year, the Diamondbacks average 5.16 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .255/.331/.448 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.73 ERA (25th) and 1.34 WHIP (22nd). Eugenio Suarez leads the D-backs with a .251 batting average, 25 home runs, and 67 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Merrill Kelly, who is 7-3 in 16 starts this season, with a 3.39 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 93.0 innings.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Marlins
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost 13 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Marlins’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last three games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (413).
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (405).
- The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.85).
- The Marlins rank T25th in the league for strikeouts this season (615).
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction
The Diamondbacks won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last six. This season, Arizona swept the Marlins in Miami, scoring 22 runs in total. Merrill Kelly started one of those games and allowed one run in 6.0 innings in a 10-4 win. Kelly registered three quality starts out of his last four, and I am backing him to add another QS and a win here. Eury Perez, on the other hand, returned from injury in June and is still searching for his right form. He hasn’t pitched for more than 4.2 innings this season, and I don’t think he will last more than 4.0 on Friday. Back the Diamondbacks to win.