Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 6/27/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 27th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 40-42 this year after they lost all three against the Angels by scores of 5-9, 2-3, and 2-5. In their game three loss, the Red Sox led 2-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the final eight innings for the loss. Boston recorded three hits in the game, and they were led by Story, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Boston started Fitts, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Guerrero picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Giants, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. Boston has lost five games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 381 runs with a .247 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this season. Trevor Story has led Boston with 11 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 13 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 65.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 43-37 this season after they won two out of three against Cleveland by scores of 10-6, 4-5, and 6-0. In their game three win, Toronto scored three runs in the third inning, and they added an insurance run in the ninth to seal the win. The Blue Jays recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Lukes and Kirk, who both had two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Green pitched a scoreless ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. Toronto has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 350 runs with a .256 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with 11 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Vladimir Guerrero has added 11 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 95.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more hits in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Ernie Clement has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games against the Red Sox.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Red Sox.
• Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Bo Bichette ranks 5th in the league in Hits (93) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (149).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (766).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (543).
• The Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup trying to snap their five-game losing streak, but they have allowed at least five runs in three of their last four games. The Red Sox are 22-17 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 18-21 on the road. Toronto has had trouble stringing wins together over the last two weeks, and they will start Berrios, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. Take the under here.