In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Minute Maid Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:
-The Mariners recent form and recent player performance
-The Astros recent form and recent play performance
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
-Recent betting trends in games played between Seattle and Houston.
-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Mariners and Astros.
Mariners Look for Series Win
The Mariners have split the first couple games of this series, but they know with a win here they will pick up a key series win against an AL West foe. On Saturday the Mariners pitching was excellent giving up zero runs and that led to the victory. Logan Gilbert went eight innings giving two hits and zero runs. Cal Raleigh had a strong game hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Mariners are averaging 3.6 while their pitching is giving up 3.24 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th while the pitching is ranked 1st. Mitch Haniger has hit four home runs and driven in 18 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mariners will be Bryce Miller who sits with a 3-2 record and an ERA of 2.04. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went seven innings giving up two hits and one run.
What an Awful Start to 2024 for the Astros
It has been an awful start to the season for the Astros and coming into this game they sit with a 12-21 record. On Saturday they failed to score any runs and that led to the defeat. Framber Valdez went 5.1 innings giving up nine hits and five earned runs. The Astros on teh season are averaging 4.45 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.03 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th while the pitching is ranked 25th. This is a team that looks lost right now, and it feels like they could be big sellers at the trade deadline if they don’t turn this around quickly. Kyle Tucker has hit eight home runs and driven in 21 RBIs. Getting the start for the Astros will be Hunter Brown who sits with an 0-4 record and an ERA of 9.78. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went 5.1 innings giving up five hits and six runs.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown Record this season: 0-4 ERA: 9.78
- The Astros have won each of their last four games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mariners have lost six of their last seven day games following a win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a home loss.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.04
- The Mariners have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have lost 10 of their last 11 Sunday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Mariners following a loss.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eleven of the Astros’ last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last nine day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last five games.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Mariners dominated on Saturday, and it’s going to be much of the same here. Hunter Brown has been awful to start the season, and it’s going to be much of the same here. The Mariners’ offense is going to tee off early here, and the Astros are going to have no answer. Miller sits with an ERA of 2.04, and he’s going to step up again here. The Astros won’t score more than a run. Back the Mariners on the run line to cash here.