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Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction 5-5-24 Picks

LA Angels (12-20) vs. Cleveland Guardians (20-12)
May 5, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -133 / LA Angels +113; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Progressive Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 

-The Angels recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles

-Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Los Angeles

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Guardians and Angels. 

Guardians Look for Series Win

After losing the first game of the series the Guardians looked better in the second game and now they can get a series win here. On Saturday the Guardians scored seven runs and that was enough for the six run victory. Bo Naylor hit a home run and drove in four RBIs. Austin Hedges also had a strong game hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Guardians are averaging 4.97 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.76 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 5th. 

Positive Run Differential for Guardians

They have a run differential of 1.21 per game which is 5th in the league. Jose Ramirez has hit five home runs and driven in 25 RBIs. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Carlos Carrasco who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 6.59. In his last start against the Houston Astros, he went four innings giving up eight hits and six runs. 

Another Bad Year for the Angels

It’s another bad year for the Angels and they have only 12 wins on the season. On Saturday the pitching really struggled early and that led to them losing. Reid Detmers didn’t look good going 5.2 innings giving up five hits and seven earned runs. The Angels are averaging 4.18 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.33 runs per game. This team isn’t very talented outside of Mike Trout, and Trout is going to be out for a while. Taylor Ward has hit seven home runs and driven in 24 RBIs. Getting the start for the Angels will be Griffin Canning who sits with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 7.45. In his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, he went five innings giving up three hits and four runs. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 6.59
  • The Guardians have won each of their last 16 games against the Angels at Progressive Field following a home win.
  • The Angels have lost each of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games following a win.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Canning Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 7.45
  • The Angels have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost each of their last four games following a win.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Angels’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Guardians’ last six home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last nine day games at Progressive Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction

Griffin Canning sits with an ERA of 7.45, and he’s going to really struggle here. Carrasco sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 6.59, and he’s coming off a run where he gave up six runs. Both of these starting pitchers are going to really struggle here, and that is going to be the difference here. Both teams are going to have no issue running up the score here, and this game is going to go over the total. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Over

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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