In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (60-50, 26-28 Away) bounced back from back-to-back series losses to the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies with a win against the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite having a 6-0 and 9-4 leads against the Marlins in Game 1 last night, the Yankees fell short in the end, losing 13-12. Trent Grisham and Giancarlo Stanton led the offense with three RBI, while Carlos Rodon pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on two hits with nine strikeouts and five walks in 4.2 innings. Camilo Doval took the loss.
This season, the Yankees average 5.24 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .254/.332/.453 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.04 ERA (17th) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .342 batting average, 37 home runs, and 85 RBI this season.
Cam Schlittler will take the mound for the Yankees on Saturday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in three starts this year with a 4.91 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 14.2 innings.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (53-55, 25-29 Home) beat the Kansas City Royals, San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers, and St. Louis Cardinals to start the second half of the season, and they opened the current series against the Yankees with a 13-12 victory. Miami erased a 6-0 deficit and scored three runs in the 9th inning to secure a W. Kyle Stowers blasted a grand slam to lead his offense, while Janson Junk pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing six runs on six hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Anthony Bender was credited with the win.
This year, the Marlins average 4.31 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .253/.315/.395 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.43 ERA (24th) and 1.31 WHIP (21st). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .297 batting average, 24 home runs, and 67 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Eury Perez, who is 3-3 in nine starts this season, with a 3.07 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 44.0 innings.
Why the Marlins will beat the Yankees
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have lost 12 of their last 15 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Yankees’ last 12 day games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 25th in the league for walks this season (323).
- The Marlins rank T7th in the league for triples this season (18).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.453).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (416).
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Marlins were better in the last two, and I am backing them to make it three in a row with a win on Saturday. Miami is playing its best baseball of the season, and I am particularly impressed with Eury Perez, who allowed just four runs in 28.0 innings for a fantastic 1.29 ERA in July. While the Yankees’ offense doesn’t miss Aaron Judge much, their defense, and especially the bullpen, has been disastrous recently, which is another reason I am going with Miami. Cam Schlittler surrendered multiple runs in each of his three starts, and I am backing the Marlins to score 3+ off of him here.