In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 19th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 57-70 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 2-1 and 2-5. In game two, New York cut the deficit to 4-2 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torrens, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Thornton allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Nunez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York swept the Nationals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, New York has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 527 runs with a .235 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 12 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 0-2 with a 6.57 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP over 12.1 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 68-59 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-2 on Tuesday night. San Diego took a 1-0 lead in the first inning and never looked back in the win. The Padres recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Tatis Jr, who went 2-5 with two home runs and three RBIs. Ray allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Miller picked up the save. Prior to this series, San Diego won two out of three against the Guardians and all three against the Brewers.
This season, San Diego has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 541 runs with a .238 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 16 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 8-8 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last eight road games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have won eight of their last nine games against the Padres following a home loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Padres following a home loss.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last 11 day games against the Padres at Citi Field.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 home games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Mets’ last 11 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven day games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six games between the Padres and Mets at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Robert Stock has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances at Citi Field.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as road favorites against the Mets.
- Michael King has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
Mets vs Padres Prediction
New York had their winning streak snapped on Tuesday in game two of this series, but they have won four of their last five games. The Mets are 29-35 at home this year, while the Padres are 31-33 on the road. San Diego has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three straight. The Padres are starting King, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Stock has allowed 0, 8, and 1 earned run in three outings. Take the under here.