MLB Picks

Twins vs Braves Prediction 8/19/26 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (74-52) vs. Minnesota Twins (62-65)
August 19, 2026 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -105 / Atlanta Braves -114; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 19th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 62-65 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 4-2 and 4-1. In game two, Minnesota scored two runs in the first inning and they added two more in the eighth to seal the win. The Twins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bell, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Matthews allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Gomez picked up another save. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Orioles before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.62 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 586 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 17 home runs and 76 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Taj Bradley, who is 9-5 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 135.2 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 74-52 this year after they lost game two by a score of 1-4 last night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Mahle allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Dodd allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 602 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 36 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 21 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is AJ Smith-Shawver, who is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Braves’ last five games.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games at Target Field against National League opponents.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Braves’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last three games between the Braves and Twins at Target Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last seven day games.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 13 of the Twins’ last 14 games against National League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Kody Clemens has hit at least one home run in three of the Twins’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Taj Bradley has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five day games.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents.

Twins vs Braves Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Twins are 34-31 at home this year, while the Braves are 32-29 on the road. Atlanta has lost four of their last five games and they have scored a total of six runs in those four losses. The Braves are starting Smith-Shawver, who allowed two earned runs over 4.1 innings in his lone start, while Bradley has allowed 3+ earned runs in three straight outings. Take the Braves here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Braves ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button