In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 40-55 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-6 on Friday night. New York cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third inning, but they failed to score again until the ninth for the loss. The Mets recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baty, who went 3-4 with one home run and one RBI. McLean allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Minter allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Royals and split four games with the Braves.
This season, New York has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 396 runs with a .235 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-7 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 100.0 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 44-48 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-2 last night. Boston scored two runs in the first inning and never looked back in the victory. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abreu, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Gray allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Whitlock picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Boston swept the White Sox in three games and swept the Angels in three games.
This season, Boston has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 378 runs with a .245 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 20 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 13 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is TBD.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The road team has won each of the Red Sox’s last nine games.
- The Mets have lost five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine road games.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last nine road games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against American League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three road games against NL opponents.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 13 road games against NL East opponents.
Mets vs Red Sox Prediction
Boston started this series with a 6-2 win on Friday night and they are one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now. The Red Sox are 27-21 on the road this year, while the Mets are 21-26 at home. New York has split their last four games and they have scored 6+ runs in four of their last five. The Mets are starting Peralta, who has allowed 1, 5, 0, 10, and 1 earned run in his last five outings, while Boston has yet to name a starter. I don’t like how inconsistent Peralta has been, so I will lean towards the over here.