Orioles vs Royals Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 44-51 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-3 on Friday night. Baltimore blew a 3-2 lead in the eighth inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the eighth for the win. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Basallo, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Young allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Garcia got the win and Kittredge picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 433 runs with a .238 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 5-9 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 38-57 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-5 last night. Kansas City tied the game at two in the fourth inning and at three in the eighth, but couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Rojas, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Avila allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Strahm picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost two out of three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 408 runs with a .248 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Noah Cameron, who is 5-6 with a 4.77 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 88.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Royals have lost 15 of their last 16 night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The home team has won five of the Royals’ last six games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven Saturday games as home favorites.
• The Royals have won seven of their last eight Saturday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 Saturday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in five of the last six games between the Royals and Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Saturday home games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the last six games between the Royals and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Royals’ last 10 Saturday games against AL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Samuel Basallo has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Jac Caglianone has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two games as underdogs against the Orioles.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.

Orioles vs Royals Prediction 

Baltimore was able to start this series with a win on Friday and they have scored 14 runs in their last three games. The Orioles are 26-25 at home this year, while the Royals are 17-31 on the road. Kansas City has lost three in a row and they have allowed 30 runs in their last four games. The Royals are starting Cameron, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Bradish has allowed 3, 3, 0, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the over here.