In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 25th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 22-31 this year after they lost all three against the Marlins by scores of 1-2, 1-4, and 0-4. In game three, New York couldn’t get any offense going and ended up allowing a grand slam in the bottom of the ninth for the loss. The Mets recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ewing, who went 2-4. Scott allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Williams allowed four earned runs for the loss. Prior to that series, New York split four games with the Nationals and won two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, New York has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 206 runs with a .226 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 27-25 this season after they split two games with the Cardinals by scores of 1-8 and 7-6. In game two, Cincinnati led 5-1 in the fifth inning, but they blew the lead in the ninth, before escaping with the win in the 11th. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Petty allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Johnson picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Guardians before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.78 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 229 runs with a .227 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won nine of their last 10 day games at Citi Field following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost each of their last four games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 games against National League opponents following an extra innings win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six day games at Citi Field following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have won each of the Reds’ last four games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Reds and Mets.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 day games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Reds.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Nolan McLean ranks 10th in the league for total Strikeouts (69) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 18 road games.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Sal Stewart is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.349).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (396).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (244).
Mets vs Reds Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after a very ugly series against the Marlins and they have scored a total of four runs in their last four games. The Mets are 11-13 at home this year, while the Reds are 13-13 on the road. Cincinnati has won three of their last four games and they have scored 17 runs in their last three. The Reds are starting Lodolo, who has allowed 12 earned runs in 15.0 innings, while McLean has allowed nine earned runs in his last 12.2 innings. Take the over here, as I don’t trust either starter.