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Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 5/25/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (25-29) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (25-28)
May 25, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -171 / Miami Marlins 141; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 25th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-28 this year after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 6-2, 5-2, and 1-4. In game three, Toronto cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they stranded a ton of runners and couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Clement, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Cease allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Lee allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto split four games with the Yankees and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 214 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 2-1 with a 1.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 25-29 this season after they swept the Mets in three games by scores of 2-1, 4-1, and 4-0. In game three, Miami was shutout in the first eight innings, but they hit a walk-off grand slam in the ninth for the win. The Marlins recored nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 2-2 with one home run and four RBIs. Phillips allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Fairbanks picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Miami lost three out of four against the Braves and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Miami has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 231 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 2-5 with a 5.07 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last nine road games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last eight games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday home games.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last four games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday home games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six night games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against National League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last seven games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (2).
  • The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (379).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (62).
  • The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).

Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 

Toronto had their winning streak snapped on Sunday afternoon, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Blue Jays are 15-12 at home this year, while the Marlins are 7-14 on the road. Miami has won three in a row and their pitching was elite against the Mets. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed 19 earned runs in his last 16.2 innings, while Yesavage has allowed three earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Blue Jays -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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