In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 31st at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 30-29 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-7 and 9-4. In game two, Washington trailed 3-1 late in the game, but they scored eight runs in the seventh/eighth innings for the win. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Mead, who went 1-1 with three RBIs. Griffin allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Lord got the win and Beeter picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Braves.
This season, Washington has a 4.64 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 320 runs with a .246 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 12 home runs and 47 RBIs, while James Wood has added 15 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 4-4 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 53.1 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 32-25 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-9 on Saturday afternoon. San Diego led 3-1 in the fifth inning, but their bullpen fell apart and their offense stopped scoring for the ugly loss. The Padres recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Machado, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. King allowed five hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Peralta allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, San Diego lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Athletics before that.
This season, San Diego has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 225 runs with a .218 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Griffin Canning, who is 0-3 with a 7.54 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The underdogs have won six of the Nationals’ last seven games.
- The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last 11 games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last 10 road games following a loss.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games against the Padres following a home win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against the Padres following a win.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Nationals.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Nationals.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Nationals’ last nine home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six day games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Padres’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last five day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as favorites.
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Sunday appearances with the Padres as favorites.
- Griffin Canning has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
San Diego led for most of game two on Saturday, but they found a way to lose and continue to struggle over the last two series. The Padres are 16-9 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 11-17 at home. Washington has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Nationals are starting Littell, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings, while Canning has allowed 3+ earned runs in four straight starts. We have seen improvement from Littell in recent starts and the Washington offense is great, so I like the Nationals here.