The Detroit Tigers and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a Tigers vs Mets prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
- The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
- The New York Mets recent form and player performance
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
- Recent betting trends in games played between the Tigers and Mets
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tigers vs Mets game
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Tigers powered out a sweep over the White Sox in their opening weekend (winning each game by one run). On Monday Detroit kept it going with a 5-0 win over the Mets. Carson Kelly hit a three-run blast in the 10th inning which finally broke the game open. On Tuesday we had a postponement due to weather. That game will be made up on Thursday.
In the starter gig for Wednesday’s matchup the Tigers are going with Casey Mize. Back in 2022 when Mize last pitched, he went 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two starts. Mize has a career record of 7-13 with a 4.29 ERA in 39 total starts. He struck out 148 batters in 188.2 innings during that time.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they were swept by the Brewers over the weekend and scored a combined two runs in three of their first four games. On Monday New York was able to keep Detroit honest until the 10th inning and had no response after the top of the frame. The Mets would come up with five hits total, with two coming from Starling Marte.
It’ll be Adrian Houser in the starting pitcher role for the Mets on Wednesday. Last year in 23 games (21 starts), Houser went 8-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 111.1 innings. Houser has a career record of 31-34 with a 4.00 ERA in 129 games (97 starts).
New York Mets Team Facts
- The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last six games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games as home favorites against American League opponents.
Detroit Tigers Team Facts
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games at Citi Field.
- The Tigers have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Tigers vs Mets Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Mets. Probably not touching this one, though. It’s tough to know what Mize will do in the start here. His performance will go a long way in determining the outcome. As for Houser, he didn’t have the greatest spring, going 0-2 in four starts with seven earned runs in 12.0 innings total. That said, Houser is a better pitcher than that and should be able to hold the Tigers in check while he’s out there.
The Mets really have to get the bats going if they’re going to stand a chance here, though. New York has scored one or fewer runs in three of their first four games, which obviously isn’t going to cut it in most circumstances. I like Houser to put up a decent effort Wednesday; the rest will be up to the offense.