In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series.
Phillies are Pulling Away in the NL East
The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-11 this season and they have won eight of their last nine games. Philadelphia has won the first two games in this series by scores of 14-3 and 4-3. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Angels, swept the Padres, and split a four game series with the Reds. Philadelphia has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks and they are currently first in the NL East, as they are leading the Braves and Mets.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 167 runs with a .255 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .364 with four home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has scored at least five runs in seven of their last nine games, while allowing three runs or fewer in three straight.
Giants Trying to Find Offense
The San Francisco Giants are 15-19 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. San Francisco has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 18 runs in the process. Prior to this series, the Giants lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Pirates and Mets. San Francisco has not won back to back games in their last nine games and they are third in the NL West behind the Dodgers and Padres.
The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 127 runs with a .239 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Michael Conforto is batting .250 with five home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Giants this year. San Francisco has scored three runs or fewer in nine straight games and they are 22nd in runs scored so far this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 42.1 innings pitched this year. Webb has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs and nine hits in his last start against the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 1-0 with an 8.53 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 6.1 innings pitched this season. Walker allowed six earned runs and eight hits over 6.1 innings against the Padres in his first start, but the Phillies did win the game.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 8.53
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Giants have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against the Giants.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Webb Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.98
- The favorites have won each of the Phillies’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as underdogs against the Giants following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Giants following a win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Phillies following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this game as a slight underdog, but they will be at home, where they are 12-6 on the season. The Phillies have been red hot recently and they are currently leading the NL East. San Francisco is just 6-12 on the road and they are four games below .500 on the season. The Giants are starting Logan Webb, who has been solid for most of his starts, but his last outing was extremely concerning. The Phillies are going with Taijuan Walker, who is making just his second start of the year. Walker struggled in that first outing against San Diego, but he will bounce back against a San Francisco offense that is not hitting very well. My Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Phillies to get the win at home.