The San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB game 4 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants look to avoid a 4-game sweep before taking on the Rockies, Reds, and Dodgers next. The San Francisco Giants have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The San Francisco Giants have lost 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Thairo Estrada leads the San Francisco Giants with 32 hits and 19 RBI, while Jung Hoo Lee and Michael Conforto have combined for 64 hits and 24 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have won 5 straight games and take on the Blue Jays, Marlins, and Mets after this. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 23 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 14 of their last 16 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 47 hits and 9 RBI, while Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 75 hits and 46 RBI.
San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup
Mason Black will make his major league debut for the Giants when he takes the mound tonight. Black was 12-14 with a 3.22 ERA and 320 strikeouts in his minor league career. Black was 11-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 152 strikeouts in 3 seasons at Lehigh. Black is the seventh rated prospect in the Giants organization.
Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-3 with a 1.91 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs and 22 hits in his last 36.1 innings. Wheeler has a 1.85 ERA and .167 allowed batting average in 24.1 home innings. Wheeler is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA and 57 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 1.91
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Giants have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last 13 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mason Black Record this season: – ERA: –
- The Giants have won each of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last three day games against the Giants following a win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Giants following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Giants’ last 13 road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three day games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The San Francisco Giants can’t get out of their own way as the losses continue to pile up. Mason Black is a top-10 prospect for the Giants, but we have no idea how he’s going to handle the big leagues. It’s why I fade pitchers making their MLB debut because we have no sample size to go off of. Zack Wheeler has been money this season, which includes a 1.85 ERA at home. Two teams heading in different directions and the Phillies have the starting pitching edge. Give me the Phillies, and I’ll take the RL to shave down the juice.