In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 36-20 this season after they won two out of three against Atlanta by scores of 2-0, 5-4, and 3-9. In their game three loss, the Phillies allowed the first eight runs in the game, and they never had a chance to come back in the loss. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Turner, Realmuto, and Sosa, who all had one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed four hits and six earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Ross allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to that series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Athletics and all four against the Rockies. Philadelphia has won 11 of its last 13 games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 270 runs with a .260 batting average and a .337 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 19 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 2-3 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 29-28 this year after they swept the Red Sox in three games by scores of 3-2, 5-1, and 6-5. In their game three win, Milwaukee blew a 4-3 lead late in the game, but they scored twice in the bottom of the 10th for the win. The Brewers recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Durbin, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Alexander picked up the win in relief.
Prior to that series, the Brewers split four games with the Pirates and won two out of three against the Orioles. Milwaukee has won four games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 246 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Quinn Priester, who is 1-2 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 44.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Phillies will beat the Brewers
- The Phillies have won each of their last 15 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Brewers and Phillies.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded an RBI in each of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs.
- William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this series looking for its fifth straight win, but its last two did come in extra innings against Boston. The Brewers are 11-18 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 19-9 at home. Philadelphia has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks, and they are starting Walker, who has pitched pretty well in his last two starts. The Brewers are starting Priester, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four outings. I do like how Priester has looked recently, but we are getting a Philadelphia team that has been elite at home at a decent price. Take the Phillies here.