Pirates vs Brewers Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks Today

The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Pirates vs Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 25-28 on the year and play the Red Sox, Phillies, and Reds next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .233 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .354 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 56 hits and 27 RBI, while Brice Turang and Sal Frelick have combined for 99 hits and 37 RBI.

Logan Henderson gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Henderson’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-34 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Padres, and Astros next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .222 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and a .328 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 44 hits and 15 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 84 hits and 35 RBI.

Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Falter is 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Pirates have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won four of their last five games against the Pirates following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against the Brewers following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has scored a run in five of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Oneil Cruz has hit at least one home run in three of his last seven appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
• Jack Suwinski has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs against the Brewers.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

I don’t want to back the Pirates as much as the next guy, but they are having a strong week with wins in four of their last five games, and their pitcher has been lights out. Falter hasn’t allowed a run in his last three starts, and he’s allowed 11 hits and one run in his last 23.2 innings. In 31 home innings, Falter has a 2.32 ERA and a .163 allowed batting average. The Pirates have only 19 wins on the season, and five of those wins have come with Falter on the mound. Throw in the favorable price, and the Pirates have to be one of the better value bets on Sunday.