Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 25th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-27 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 19-5, 6-5, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Boston was held scoreless for the first eight innings, but finally scored in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Red Sox recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Toro, who went 1-1 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Boston started Giolito, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Bernardino picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Mets, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. Boston has won four of their last six games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 266 runs with a .254 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Alex Bregman (IL) has added 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Walker Buehler, who is 4-1 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 17-34 this season after they won game three by a score of 2-1 on Saturday night. Baltimore didn’t have a ton of luck at the plate, but they scored once in the eighth and once in the ninth for the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by O’Hearn and Carlson, who both had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Kittredge picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Brewers and all three against the Nationals. Baltimore has lost 10 of their last 12 games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.61 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .274 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 195 runs with a .235 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 10 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added seven home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 3-5 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 55.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last nine games following a road win.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight day games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday road games.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Sunday games as home favorites.

Why the Orioles will beat the Red Sox

• The underdogs have won five of the Red Sox’s last six games.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the Red Sox’s last 15 games.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against the Red Sox.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last six day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games.
• Walker Buehler has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine day games.
• Walker Buehler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Orioles.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four road games against AL opponents.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Dean Kremer has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven road games against AL East opponents.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
• Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs against the Red Sox.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore was able to pick up a rare win in the second game of the doubleheader on Saturday night, and they will look for the series split here. The Orioles are just 9-19 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 16-13 at home. Boston has been one of the highest-scoring teams in the MLB this year, and they are going against Kremer, who has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The O’s are towards the bottom of the MLB in runs scored, and they are going against Buehler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts that weren’t shortened by ejection. Back the Red Sox here.