In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 29th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 55-53 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 7-8. In game two, Pittsburgh trailed 6-0 in the sixth inning, but they tied the game in the ninth, before losing in the 12th. The Pirates recorded 14 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Lowe, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Chandler allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Dotel picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Cubs and two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 563 runs with a .260 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 2-1 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 56-52 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-7 on Tuesday night. Arizona blew a 6-0 lead in the later innings and a 7-6 lead in the 10th, but they escaped with the win in the 12th. The Diamondbacks recorded 16 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Moreno, who went 1-6 with two RBIs. Pfaadt allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Sewald blew the save and Carrillo got the win. Prior to this series, Arizona lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win a makeup game with the Cardinals before that.
This season, Arizona has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 489 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Ketel Marte has led the Diamondbacks with 19 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 15 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 9-3 with a 2.64 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following an extra innings loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road day games.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Diamondbacks at PNC Park following a loss.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL West opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last six day games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 13 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit a home run in two of the Diamondbacks’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against the Pirates.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona snapped their three game losing streak with a win on Tuesday in game two, but their bullpen had a terrible collapse in the eighth and ninth innings. The Diamondbacks are 25-30 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 29-27 at home. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last four. The Pirates are starting Jones, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts, while Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four outings. Take the Pirates at home here.