In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Giants Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28th at the Oracle Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Francisco Giants Preview
The San Francisco Giants have a 54-52 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL West. They have a 28-23 home record and are 49-53 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-5 home defeat by the Mets, and are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 games and are playing the Mets and the Pirates again next.
The Giants have a .233 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Heliot Ramos leads the Giants with 107 hits and is the team’s best hitter, with a .268 batting average. Wilmer Flores leads the team in RBI with 59, while Matt Chapman adds a team-high 16 home runs.
Carson Whisenhunt (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants, and this will be his first start in the majors. He posted a 4.42 ERA with 86 strikeouts over 96 innings in 18 starts for Triple-A Sacramento this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 44-62 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL Central. They have a 13-37 road record, and are 41-62 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-0 home victory over the Diamondbacks, and are 5-1 in their last 6 games. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games and are playing the Rockies and the Giants next.
The Pirates have a .230 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .340 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 91 hits, and a team-high 51 RBI. Andrew McCutchen is the team’s best hitter with a .248 batting average, while Oneil Cruz leads the team in home runs, with 17.
Mitch Keller (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 4-10 record, 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six night games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Giants have won nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last six games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Giants following a home win.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Pirates and Giants.
- The Giants have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Pirates and Giants at Oracle Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last 11 Monday games at Oracle Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Pirates’ last nine night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Giants rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (91).
- The Giants rank 29th in the league for steals this season (46).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (358).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (69).
Pirates vs Giants Prediction
The Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 overall meetings against the Pirates, but both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their last four meetings in San Fran. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings.
In this Pirates vs Giants Prediction, the Giants are coming as -130 home favorites. The Giants are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and have been above average at home, while the Pirates have been terrible on the road. But the Giants are putting the rookie Carson Whisenhunt on the mound, who was mediocre in the Triple-A this season, while the Pirates answer with Mitch Keller, who has been better on the road with a 2.90 road ERA, and in excellent form lately, with a 4-1 record and 2.03 ERA in his last 5 starts. The Pirates have been also playing much better lately, and I like them as road dogs in this matchup. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates and the plus money.