Guardians vs Rockies Prediction 7-28-25 MLB Picks Today
Colorado Rockies (27-78) vs. Cleveland Guardians (52-53)
July 28, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -245 / Colorado Rockies 196; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (27-78, 13-40 Away) won a series against the Minnesota Twins and St. Louis Cardinals, but lost to the Baltimore Orioles after opening that series with a victory. The Rox were destroyed in Game 2 and lost the rubber match on Sunday, 5-1. Warming Bernabel hit his first homer in the MLB, which was also his first-ever RBI, while Austin Gomber took the loss after allowing four runs on four hits with two strikeouts and three walks in 4.1 innings.
This season, the Rockies average 3.61 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .233/.293/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.61 ERA (30th) and 1.58 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .281 batting average, 18 home runs, and 57 RBI this season.
Bradley Blalock will take the mound for the Rockies on Monday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 1-2 record in five starts this year with an 8.67 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 27.0 innings.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians (52-53, 25-25 Home) defeated the Athletics and Baltimore Orioles to open the second half, but then lost a series to the Kansas City Royals. Cleveland scored only one goal in last night’s rubber match, losing 4-1. Gabriel Arias hit a solo homer to lead the offense, while Joey Cantillo took the loss after allowing three runs on three hits with four strikeouts and four walks in 4.0 innings.
This year, the Guardians average 3.87 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .225/.298/.373 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Guardians’ staff has a 3.93 ERA (16th) and 1.32 WHIP (22nd). Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with a .298 batting average, 21 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Guardians is Slade Cecconi, who is 5-4 in 12 starts this season, with a 3.76 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 69.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Rockies’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Guardians’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rockies’ last six games at Progressive Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.60).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (686).
Guardians vs Rockies Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I am aware that the Guardians are massive favorites here, but there is no way I am backing them at these odds, so I’ll go with Under instead. Six of the last ten H2Hs went Under, which was the case in six of Colorado’s previous ten games. Bradley Blalock had a couple of strong displays after he was recalled from the minors, allowing three runs in 11.0 innings. Slade Cecconi, on the other hand, surrendered more than three runs only once in his previous nine starts. Go with Under.