In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 8th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-40 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 2-1. In their game two win, Pittsburgh tied the game at one in the first inning, and they added one in the seventh for the win. The Pirates recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by McCutchen and Davis, who both had one RBI in the win. Pittsburgh started Heaney, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Bednar picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Padres. Pittsburgh has won three of its last four games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 206 runs with a .227 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 12 home runs and 28 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 4-6 with a 2.05 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-27 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-1 on Saturday afternoon. Philadelphia took a 1-0 lead in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Schwarber, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Walker finished the last inning.
Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Brewers. Philadelphia has lost eight of its last nine games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 296 runs with a .252 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 5-1 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Pirates will beat the Phillies
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Pirates.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in seven of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Oneil Cruz has scored a run in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last five day games.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored a run in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games at PNC Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Pirates vs Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this game trying to avoid being swept, but they have played very poorly over the last two weeks. The Phillies are 18-15 on the road this season, while the Pirates are 16-18 at home. Pittsburgh has won three of its last four games, and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of its last five. The Pirates are starting Skenes, who has been elite this year, but has had very little run support. The Phillies are going with Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight outings. I don’t see how we can trust this Philadelphia offense against one of the better pitchers in the MLB, so give me the Pirates at home here.