In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 28th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 15-15 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL Central. They have an 8-6 home record and are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Rays. Their previous three games were a 2-4 loss, a 3-5 loss and an 8-6 win on the road against the Blue Jays.
The Guardians have a .230 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Angel Martinez is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Brayan Rocchio leads the team in RBI with 17, and Jose Ramirez adds a team‑high 6 home runs.
Tanner Bibee (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 0-3 record, 4.45 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 17-11 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL East. They have a 9-7 away record and are coming off a 3-2 road win against the Guardians. They won their previous three games at home against the Twins by scores of 4-2, 6-1, and 6-2.
The Rays have a .256 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .327 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 24, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 8 home runs.
Nick Martinez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: April 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee Record this season: 0-3 ERA: 4.45
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-2
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games following a loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in each of their last six Tuesday night games as home favorites.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday night games as home favorites.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 2.10
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 12 games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Guardians’ last 10 games as favorites against the Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven Tuesday games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rays and Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Brayan Rocchio has hit a home run in five of his last 15 appearances with the Guardians as favorites.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (11) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Guardians.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Yandy Diaz ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (278).
- The Guardians rank 26th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (202).
- The Rays are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Rays vs Guardians Prediction
The Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Rays and are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Rays vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -135 home favorites. The Rays have been red-hot with five consecutive wins and have the pitching advantage today, as Nick Martinez goes up against Tanner Bibee. Martinez has one earned run in three of his last four starts, while Bibee has 10 earned runs across his last three starts and gave up 7 runs in his two starts against the Rays last season. The Rays also have a better offense and are even better against righties, while the Guardians are weaker against right-handed pitching. Take the Rays on the moneyline for plus money in this one.