In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 5th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 67-74 this year after they lost game one by a score of 7-10 on Friday night. Cincinnati led 6-4 in the third inning, but didn’t score again until the seventh in the loss. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Suarez, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Lowder allowed six hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Moll allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Cubs.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 588 runs with a .229 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 31 home runs and 106 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 21 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-10 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 88-54 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-7 last night. Milwaukee scored five runs in the fifth inning to take the lead and pull away with the win. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Pratt, who went 1-4 with four RBIs. Drohan allowed five hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Patrick got the win and Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee split four games with the Cubs and won two out of three against the Rangers.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they have scored 715 runs with a .257 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 23 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 17 home runs and 82 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Dustin May, who is 6-9 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last seven night games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Reds following a road win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Brewers.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 Saturday night road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost each of their last six night games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Saturday games.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in 29 of his last 34 appearances in night games.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 22 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 17 games as favorites against the Reds.
- Bo Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee started this series with a win on Friday night and they have scored 9+ runs in three of their last four games. The Brewers are 41-29 on the road this year, while the Reds are 34-38 at home. Cincinnati has won three of their last five games and they have scored seven runs in three of those five. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while May has allowed 4, 0, and 7 earned runs in his last three starts. Take the over here.