In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 16-13 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 3-1. Cincinnati trailed 1-0 early in the game, but they scored the last three runs in the game for the win. The Reds recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Trevino, Marte, and Lux, who all had one RBI in the win. Cincinnati started Martinez, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings in the win, while Pagan picked up the save in the ninth.
Prior to this series, the Reds won all three against the Rockies, but did lose two out of three against the Marlins before that. Cincinnati has won five games in a row, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and a .208 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 153 runs with a .254 batting average and a .334 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with five home runs and 24 RBIs, while Austin Hays has added five home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Brady Singer, who is 4-0 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati in game two is Andrew Abbott, who is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this year.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 12-17 this season after they dropped game one in this series on Monday night. St. Louis led 1-0 in the first inning, but they failed to score in the last eight innings in the loss. The Cardinals recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Arenado, who had the lone RBI in the loss. St. Louis started Pallante, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings in the loss, while O’Brien and King pitched the final two innings.
Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Brewers, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. St. Louis has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 131 runs with a .263 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this season. Lars Nootbaar has led St. Louis with four home runs, 17 RBIs, and three stolen bases, while Brendan Donovan has added three home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Miles Mikolas, who is 0-2 with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 23.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher in game two for St. Louis is Steven Matz, who is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Reds will beat the Cardinals
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Cardinals and Reds.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Cardinals at Great American Ball Park.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last six home games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
- The Cardinals have won six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games on the first leg of a doubleheader against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last three games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Reds.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six road games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Reds’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Cardinals’ last five day games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Austin Hays has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds’ last six day games.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 14 day games.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Reds’ last six day games.
- Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last six day games.
- Austin Hays has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four games.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Reds.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games.
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Lars Nootbaar has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
- Willson Contreras has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
Cincinnati was able to get the win in game one of this series, but game two was postponed due to weather, so we will play a doubleheader today. The Reds are 7-6 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 2-12 on the road. St. Louis has scored just one run in two straight games, and they are facing Singer in game one, who has been very strong this year. In game two, we have a great pitching matchup between Matz and Abbott, and I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game. Take the Reds to win game one and the under in game two.