In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 7th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 57-34 this year after they swept Cleveland by scores of 2-1, 1-0, and 7-2 over the weekend. In their game three win, Detroit trailed 1-0 late in the game, but they tied the game in the ninth and scored six in the 10th for the win. The Tigers recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Sweeney, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Lee picked up the win in relief.
Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Detroit has won six of its last eight games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 456 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 22 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 5-9 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 49-41 this season after they lost two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 3-4, 5-6, and 7-5. In their game three win, Tampa Bay blew a 4-2 lead in the eighth inning, but they scored three times in the 10th to get the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caminero and Aranda, who both had two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Rasmussen, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 2.0 innings, while Fairbanks picked up the win and Orze got the save.
Prior to that series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Orioles. Tampa Bay has lost five of its last seven games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 431 runs with a .260 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 21 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 8-3 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Rays
- The Tigers have won 12 of their last 13 home games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have lost each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rays’ last seven games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Rays and Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents at Comerica Park.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
Tigers vs Rays Prediction
Detroit comes into this series after sweeping Cleveland over the weekend, and they have allowed just three total runs in their last three games. The Tigers are 30-14 at home this year, while the Rays are 21-16 on the road. Tampa Bay was able to avoid the sweep in Minnesota on Sunday, but they have had some struggles over the last 10 days. TB is going with Baz, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. Detroit is starting Flaherty, who has allowed 3, 3, 8, and 7 earned runs in his last four outings. I know Flaherty is not pitching very well right now, but we are getting Detroit at a great price at home. Take the Tigers here.