In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at the Target Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 57-63 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 32-25 home record and are 52-60 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-1 road victory over the Yankees, which ended their two-game losing streak. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Athletics and the White Sox next.
The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 95 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 60, and in home runs, with 24. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average.
Bailey Ober (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 4-7 record, 5.16 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 70-52 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central ahead of the Cleveland Guardians. The Tigers have a 31-28 road record and are 63-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-0 road victory over the White Sox, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games and are playing the Royals and the Astros next.
The Tigers have a .250 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .422 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 123 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 87, and in home runs, with 27. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average.
Tarik Skubal (R) is the projected starter for the Tigers, and he has a 11-3 record, 2.35 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Twins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Target Field.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Thursday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Tigers’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 night games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (320).
- The Twins rank T25th in the league for steals this season (59).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (51).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (25).
Tigers vs Twins Prediction
The Twins are 4-3 in their last 7 meetings against the Tigers, but the Tigers are 5-4 in their 9 meetings this season. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Tigers vs Twins Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -220 road favorites. The Tigers are rightfully such big favorites, as they have a better overall record and are putting their ace on the mound in Tarik Skubal, who has been even better on the road, with a 2.11 road ERA. Skubal’s previous start against the Twins this season was a shutout performance in 7 innings pitched, while Ober was torched in his previous start versus the Tigers, with 7 earned runs in 5.2 innings pitched. The Tigers have a better bullpen, while the Twins are weaker against left-handed pitching. Take the Tigers on the runline in this one.