The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 37-35 on the year after beating the Phillies and Yankees. The Boston Red Sox have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Boston Red Sox have won 5 straight games when scoring more than 1 run. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 82 hits and 31 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 124 hits and 61 RBI.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays look to get back to a .500 record after wins over the Brewers and Guardians. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 77 hits and 30 RBI, while Bo Bichette and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 118 hits and 55 RBI.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup
Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 3-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Pivetta has allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in his last 11 innings. Pivetta has a 3.00 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 21 road innings. Pivetta is 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA and 74 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Kikuchi has allowed 16 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 16.1 innings. Kikuchi has a 3.32 ERA and .238 allowed batting average in 43.1 home innings. Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have lost 26 of their last 40 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the last 13 games between the Red Sox and Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Red Sox at Rogers Centre following a home win.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 Monday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games as favorites.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Yusei Kikuchi has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Yusei Kikuchi has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded an RBI in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (497).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (91).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for triples this season (21).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (695).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Yusei Kikuchi has been hit or miss in his last few starts, and he hasn’t had good outings against the Red Sox in his career. Nick Pivetta has above average stuff and when he’s on he’s valuable in the underdog role. Well, Pivetta has pitched well in his last two or three starts and has cashed some nice tickets. The Red Sox are playing decent ball as of late, and Pivetta is an above average pitcher in terms of his strikeout ability. I’ll take a shot with the Red Sox in the underdog role, something I’ve done a lot over the last week or so.