In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, April 23rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have an 8-16 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-7 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Twins. Their previous three games were a 3-5 home loss against the Twins, and a 1-2 and a 2-4 road loss against the Cubs.
The Mets have a .224 batting average this season, .288 OBP and .334 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Francisco Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average, also adding a team‑high 4 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 9.
Christian Scott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets and last season he had a 0-3 record, 4.56 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 12-12 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL Central. They have a 5-6 away record and are coming off a 2-3 road loss against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 5-3 road win against the Mets, and a 4-7 and a 4-5 home loss against the Reds.
The Twins have a .227 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .377 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Josh Bell is the team’s best hitter with a .253 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 15. Byron Buxton adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
Joe Ryan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 2-2 record, 3.29 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets Betting Trends: April 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Twins: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Twins have lost 11 of their last 12 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won six of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Twins’ last 10 games.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as road favorites.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Mets have won the first inning in seven of their last eight Thursday games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.29
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-0
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Mets have lost 12 of their last 13 games.
- The Twins have won each of their last six games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last six games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight Thursday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven Thursday games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Joe Ryan has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Joe Ryan has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (78).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (74).
- The Twins rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (14).
- The Twins rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (30).
Twins vs Mets Prediction
The Twins are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mets but the Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in New York.
In this Twins vs Mets Prediction, the Twins are coming as -120 road favorites. The Mets finally end their length losing streak by winning yesterday but they now have to face Joe Ryan who has been very good for the Twins this season and coming off a quality start. The Mets still have the worst offense in all baseball, with just 3.2 runs per game and I don’t expect them to win a second straight game based on what we have seen so far. Take the Twins on the moneyline to get the job done.