In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 10, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros (65-52, 30-28 Away) will conclude their three-series road trip in New York, after being swept by the Boston Red Sox and defeating the Miami Marlins. Houston opened the series against the Yankees with a win, but lost Game 2 on Saturday, 5-4. Framber Valdez pitched for 5.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on eight hits with one strikeout and four walks. Bryan King took the loss.
This year, the Astros average 4.32 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .258/.322/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.72 ERA (7th) and 1.20 WHIP (2nd). Jose Altuve leads the Astros with a .284 batting average, 20 home runs, and 62 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Astros is Jason Alexander, who is 2-1 in four starts this season, with a 5.97 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 31.2 innings.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (62-55, 35-23 Home) were swept by the Miami Marlins and lost a series to the Texas Rangers prior to this series against the Astros. The Yanks fell short to Houston in extra innings in Game 1, but responded with a narrow 5-4 victory last night. Giancarlo Stanton led the offense with two RBI, while Luis Gil pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. David Bednar was credited with the win.
This season, the Yankees average 5.10 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .250/.329/.447 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.05 ERA (17th) and 1.26 WHIP (14th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .339 batting average, 37 home runs, and 86 RBI this season.
Max Fried will take the mound for the Yankees on Sunday. The 31-year-old left-hander has a 12-4 record in 23 starts this year with a 2.78 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 139.0 innings.
Why the Yankees will cover
- The Astros have lost seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won eight of their last nine home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Yankees’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Astros and Yankees.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (440).
- The Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (595).
- The Astros rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The Astros are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Yankees vs Astros Prediction
The Yankees won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters. I am backing them to get another win in this rubber match and clinch the series, not only because of the recent H2H record, but also because of the pitching matchup. While the Yankees will field their best pitcher, the Astros turn to Jaosn Alexander, who is more of a reliever than a starter. Alexander did impress in his latest start against the Marlins, but I don’t think he will have a good time against the Yanks. Max Fried, on the other hand, struggled in July, posting a 5.54 ERA. He allowed four runs in his previous start against the Rangers, but I am backing him to return to his best here. Back the Yankees to win and cover.