The Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees meet on Monday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Royals Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Kansas City Royals will start Seth Lugo in this game, and Lugo is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lugo is 2-1 with a 1.90 ERA and 29 strikeouts as a starter against the Yankees. Carlos Carrasco will get the start for the Yankees here and is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Royals, Carrasco is 2-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last time out to avoid the sweep and sit at 8-8 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a division series against the Detroit Tigers.
Royals Salvage Win Vs. Guardians
Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 18 hits with 6 doubles and 5 stolen bases, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 12 hits with 2 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs, and 11 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 15 hits with 4 doubles, 2 home runs, and 9 RBIs, and Salvador Perez also has 2 home runs and 9 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Royals with 17 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
- The road team has won each of the last three games between the Royals and Yankees.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in each of the Royals’ last four Monday games as underdogs.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Royals’ last six road games against the Yankees.
- Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in 15 of the Royals’ last 16 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Jonathan India has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Yankees.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 18 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T10th in the league in Steals (5) this season.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this series looking to rebound from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the San Francisco Giants in Sunday’s rubber match to sit at 8-7 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Yankees Drop Back-To-Back Series
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 20 hits, including 6 home runs, 20 RBIs, 4 doubles, and a .357 batting average, along with a pair of stolen bases, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 5 home runs, 10 RBIs, and a team-high 4 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 3 doubles with 4 home runs and 13 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 4 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 20 hits with 4 doubles and a .357 batting average, while Chisholm Jr. also has a team-high 24 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 15 home games against the Royals following a loss.
- The Royals have lost each of their last nine games against the Yankees following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Carrasco has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
- Carlos Carrasco has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against the Royals.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Royals’ last 12 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Yankees vs Royals Prediction
I’m on the Royals in this game. I get the case to be made for the Yankees, as the Yanks have a ton of pop in those bats in that lineup. However, how Carlos Carrasco still has a paying gig in a major league starting rotation is beyond me, as he’s been batting practice for the better part of the last couple of seasons. Lugo is probably bound for some regression after a solid year last year, but the Royals’ lineup is due for some positive regression at the plate after a slow start to the year against righties. A matchup with Carrasco could provide that spark. Give me the Royals.