In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 29th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 48-35 this season after they lost all four against the Red Sox by scores of 3-6, 1-6, 1-4, and 4-5. In game four, New York scored two runs in the ninth inning to tie the game and they led 4-2 in the 10th, but they allowed three runs in the bottom of the 10th for the loss. The Yankees recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rosario, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Rodon allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Cruz picked up the loss in the 10th. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Reds before that.
This season, New York has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 409 runs with a .239 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 22 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-5 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 86.2 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 35-49 this year after they lost three out of four against the Astros by score of 1-2, 8-0, 6-8, and 5-7. In game four, Detroit led 3-0 in the fifth inning, but they blew the lead in the later innings and allowed four runs in the 10th for the loss. The Tigers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 2-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Flaherty allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Finnegan blew the save and Jansen picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the White Sox before that.
This season, Detroit has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 344 runs with a .235 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 2-5 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won 13 of their last 14 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last five Monday home games.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Yankees’ last nine home games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last six Monday games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 15 games against AL Central opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (24) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Dillon Dingler has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
- Casey Mize has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances against the Yankees.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Yankees.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (121).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.32).
- The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (30).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after getting swept in four games by the Red Sox and they are now second in the AL East. The Yankees are 22-15 at home this year, while the Tigers are 12-28 on the road. Detroit has lost four of their last five games and their bullpen has been horrendous in their last two. The Tigers are starting Mize, who has allowed seven earned runs in his last 10.1 innings, while Weathers has allowed one earned run in back to back starts. Both teams are struggling, so I think we have some value with Detroit and the plus money here.