The Detroit Lions and the Kansas City Chiefs meet Saturday in NFL preseason action from Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Chiefs vs Lions pick.
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
The Lions had a pretty successful regular season in 2023, ultimately going 12-5 overall. That effort put Detroit in first place in the NFC North—their first division title since 1993. The Lions won the Wild Card Game over the Rams and the Divisional Playoffs versus the Buccaneers but fell to San Francisco in the conference championship 34-31.
Detroit took on the New York Giants in their first preseason matchup. That one was a pretty tame affair with all the scoring happening in the first half during a 14-3 Lions loss. Detroit’s Nate Sudfeld threw for 96 yards and a pick, while Isaiah Williams led the receivers with four catches for 35 yards.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
Over on the Chiefs’ side, they’re coming off another great run last year. Kansas City finished the regular season at 11-6 overall for a first-place AFC West finish. The Chiefs beat the Dolphins, Bills, Ravens and 49ers on the way to another Super Bowl win. KC now has 11 straight winning seasons and eight straight division titles.
In their first preseason game, the Chiefs played the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kansas City took a 20-10 deficit into halftime and ultimately lost 26-13. Patrick Mahomes completed three of his four passing attempts fro 27 yards. Carson Steele rushed four times for 29 yards and a touchdown.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Isiah Pacheco has scored the last touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last three games against AFC opponents.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
- Travis Kelce has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six games against the Ravens.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
- Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 251+ passing yards in each of his six previous Week 1 appearances.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 24+ completions in nine of his last 10 September appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chiefs’ last eight home games in September.
- Isiah Pacheco was the only Chiefs player to record a touchdown in seven consecutive appearances last season (including playoffs).
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- David Montgomery has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 September appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last six games as favorites.
- Jared Goff has recorded 275+ passing yards in seven of his last eight September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 90+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last four regular season games.
- David Montgomery has recorded 45+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 September appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 26+ completions in four of his last five regular season appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC West opponents.
- Jared Goff has thrown two or more touchdowns in 15 of the Lions’ last 16 regular season home games against NFC opponents.
- Carlton Davis is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions Prediction
I’ll probably stick with the Chiefs here. Most pundits are high on Kansas City once again this season, and the over/under on their win total seems to be around 11.5 or so. That seems an achievable number for this team, as they’ve got a clear path for yet another division championship.
The Chiefs eased into things during their first preseason action against the Jaguars. KC totaled 264 yards (158 passing) and 16 first downs with zero turnovers but went just 2-of-13 on third-down tries. The Chiefs will see a little more action from their bigger-name players this time, and I like them to carve out a good enough lead early to take this one.