In this article, we will formulate a NY Jets vs Miami Dolphins prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 5th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 18 matchup.
NY Jets Betting Preview
The New York Jets are 4-12 this season after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 40-14 in their last game. New York trailed 40-0 in the fourth quarter, but they did score two late touchdowns to avoid the shutout. The Jets were outgained by a total of 348-281, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 4-9 on third down in the game. Aaron Rodgers threw for 112 yards and two interceptions, while Tyrod Taylor threw for 83 yards and two touchdowns. Garrett Wilson caught seven passes for 66 yards and one score, while Breece Hall rushed for 45 yards on 10 carries in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Jets lost to the Rams by a score of 19-9 but did beat the Jaguars by a score of 32-25 before that. New York has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AFC East, one game ahead of the Patriots. The New York offense has scored 19.1 points per game with 216.1 passing yards and 90.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24 points per game this season. Aaron Rodgers has completed 63% of his passes for 3,623 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Garrett Wilson has caught 97 passes for 1,053 yards and seven scores this year.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins are 8-8 this year after they defeated the Browns by a score of 20-3 in their last game. Miami was tied at three in the second quarter, but they scored the last 17 points in the game for the double-digit win. The Dolphins outgained Cleveland by a total of 280-276, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 2-11 on third down in the game. Tyler Huntley threw for 225 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 52 yards and one score in the game. Tyreek Hill added nine catches for 105 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, the Dolphins defeated the 49ers by a score of 29-17 but did lose to Houston by a score of 20-12 before that. Miami has won six of their last eight games, but their postseason chances aren’t great after starting the season 2-6. The Miami offense has scored 20.3 points per game with 221.1 passing yards and 103.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.8 points per game this season. There is still no word on if Tua is going to suit up for the Dolphins in this game, but I am assuming it is going to be Huntley once again. Tyler Huntley has completed 66.3% of his passes for 602 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Tyreek Hill has caught 79 passes for 939 yards and six scores this year.
Why the Dolphins will beat the Jets
- The Dolphins have won each of their last 11 Sunday games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Jets have lost each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games at MetLife Stadium.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games following a road win.
- The Dolphins have won the first quarter in each of their last six games following a road win.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in 13 of their last 14 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Jets’ last nine games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 224+ passing yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Jets’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Breece Hall has recorded 52+ rushing yards in seven of the Jets’ last eight home games.
- Davante Adams has scored a touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog on the East Coast.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 54+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last six games as underdogs.
- Davante Adams has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four Sunday appearances at MetLife Stadium.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 18, Jamien Sherwood has recorded the most solo tackles in a single game this season (13 vs Dolphins, Week 14).
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last six games played on the East Coast.
- Tyreek Hill has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his last 15 Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 29+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 road appearances against division opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 231+ passing yards in each of his last nine road appearances on the East Coast.
- Jonnu Smith has scored the last touchdown in four of the Dolphins’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 road appearances against division opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
- Heading into Week 18, De’Von Achane is the only player in the NFL to record 5+ rushing and 5+ receiving TDs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 18, the Jets rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (90.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Jets rank T30th in the NFL in interceptions (5) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (12.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Dolphins rank 3rd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (310.6) this season.
NY Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup still hoping to make the postseason, but they need to win this game and get some help. The Dolphins are most likely going to be without Tua in this game, but they have been great over the last two months, as they have won six of their last eight games. New York was just blown out by the Bills on the road and they have dropped 11 of their last 13 games. Miami did get the 32-26 win over New York a few weeks ago and I like them to get another win here. The Jets have looked horrendous over the last two weeks and I am rolling with the Dolphins here, regardless of the quarterback.