In this article we will formulate a Patriots vs Jets prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 18th at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots are 3-2 this season after they defeated the Raiders by a score of 45-17 in their last game. New England led 21-7 at halftime and they scored 24 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Patriots out gained Las Vegas by a total of 536-306, went 6-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Drake Maye threw for 374 yards and four touchdowns, while Kyle Williams caught three passes for 91 yards and one score. Rhamondre Stevenson rushed 13 times for 64 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, New England defeated the Bills by a score of 29-26, but lost to the Jaguars by a score of 35-6 before that. The Patriots have scored 22.0 points per game with 245.2 passing yards and 127.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.8 points against per game this season. Drake Maye has thrown for 1,228 yards with eight touchdowns and seven interceptions this season.
New York Jets Betting Preview
The New York Jets are 2-3 this year after they defeated the Browns by a score of 17-12 in their last game. New York led 7-6 at halftime, but they trailed 12-10 in the fourth, before scoring with 3:01 left for the win. The Jets out gained Cleveland by a total of 276-198, went 8-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Geno Smith threw for 182 yards and one touchdown, while Garrett Wilson caught seven passes for 104 yards and one score. Braelon Allen rushed 24 times for 116 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, New York lost to the Bears by a score of 23-12 and the Lions by a score of 31-24. The Jets have scored 18.6 points per game with 190.0 passing yards and 94.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 19.2 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has thrown for 1,084 yards with six touchdowns and zero interceptions this year.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last 13 road games against AFC East opponents on a winning streak.
- The Patriots have won each of their last 10 games against the Jets following a win.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games following a win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Patriots’ last eight games at Gillette Stadium.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last eight day games against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games at Gillette Stadium.
- The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last 11 games at Gillette Stadium.
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Jets have won each of their last three October games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have lost each of their last three Week 6 home games.
- The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last four October games against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Week 6 games against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in three of their last four October games as home favorites.
- The Jets have won the first half in three of their last four October games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last six day games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Jets’ last eight day games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Rhamondre Stevenson has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Patriots’ last four day games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
- Hunter Henry has recorded 40+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last eight regular season games as favorites.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Patriots’ last four October games against AFC East opponents.
- Demario Douglas has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Patriots’ last six October home games.
- Heading into Week 6, Elijah Ponder ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of his last four road appearances on the East Coast.
- Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in four of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 226+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances against the Patriots.
- Mason Taylor has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his four previous road appearances on the East Coast.
- Will Levis has recorded 15+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances following a win.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five road appearances.
- Heading into Week 6, David Bailey has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (3.0 vs Browns, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Patriots – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Patriots – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Jets – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Patriots vs Jets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak last week, but they have lost three of their last four games. The Jets are 1-2 on the road this year, while the Patriots are 2-0 at home. New England has won three of their last four games and they have scored 29+ points in their last two. The Patriots are getting better play from Maye at QB and their defense has been very strong for most of the year. I don’t trust the New York offense, so give me the Patriots here.