Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction 10/18/26 NFL Picks Today

The Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in NFL action from Wembley Stadium. Here’s a Jaguars vs Texans prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jaguars vs Texans pick.

Houston Texans Betting Preview

This year the Texans have had some struggles, but to be fair most of their losses have been pretty close. Houston opened up with a 36-31 defeat at home versus Buffalo, then lost 20-6 against the Cincinnati Bengals. Game three was another close loss 19-17 versus the Indianapolis Colts, then came a 34-30 loss to the Dallas Cowboys for an 0-4 start.

Last weekend versus the Tennessee Titans, the Texans finally got into the win column. Houston posted four field goals in the first half then added a couple of touchdowns in the second on the way to a dominant 26-3 victory. QB CJ Stroud was 26-of-34 for 261 yards and a touchdown. Woody Marks was the leading rusher in the win with 15 carries for 62 yards.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

Over on the Jags’ side, they’ve started out the year fairly well so far. The Jaguars kicked things off with a 34-10 win over the Cleveland Browns, but then took their first loss of the season 20-13 versus the Denver Broncos. The next two games were both wins, 35-6 versus the New England Patriots and 22-17 over the Cincinnati Bengals. In the first four games the Jags went 3-1 overall.

Matched up against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday the Jaguars jumped out to an early lead but then gave up a couple of touchdowns in the second quarter. Jacksonville battled back and posted a field goal as time expired for a thrilling 19-17 win. QB Trevor Lawrence was 24-of-39 for 331 yards, two scores and a pick. Parker Washington caught both TDs among his six grabs for 124 yards.

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The Jaguars have won each of their last seven October games against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have lost each of their last six games without Jadeveon Clowney.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Jadeveon Clowney.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against AFC South opponents.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• The Jaguars have won the first half in eight of their last nine October games against AFC opponents.
• The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games.

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Texans have won each of their last seven games following a Division win.
• The Jaguars have lost each of their last four games without Josh Hines-Allen.
• The Texans have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs without Derek Stingley Jr..
• The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Brenton Strange.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last seven October games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Texans’ last eight games without Jadeveon Clowney have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 10 Sunday games at Wembley Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Jaguars’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Parker Washington has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last five games as favorites.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 20+ completions in 11 of the Jaguars’ last 12 games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 39+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 appearances against division opponents.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 229+ passing yards in 11 of the Jaguars’ last 12 games as favorites following a win.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 17+ rushing yards in seven of the Jaguars’ last eight games as favorites following a win.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 39+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 14 appearances against division opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, Parker Washington ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Nico Collins has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Texans as underdogs against AFC South opponents.
• Kayshon Boutte has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his 10 previous October appearances.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 261+ passing yards in four of the Texans’ last five games.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last four appearances against the Jaguars.
• Xavier Hutchinson has recorded 21+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Texans’ last nine games.
• David Montgomery has recorded 60+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, Will Anderson Jr. ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (7.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 6, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (63.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Jaguars rank 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (3.0 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Texans rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (79.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 6, the Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in sacks (18.0) this season.

Jaguars vs Texans Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Jaguars. Well, Jacksonville needed a dramatic finish but they were able to eke past the Eagles last weekend thanks to 18 first downs and 408 total yards. The Jags went just 5-of-16 on third downs, but the defense kept them in it with just 13 first downs and 232 total yards allowed. I’d like to see the Jaguars post a nice points total here; they’ve been at 22 or fewer points in three of the last four outings. Jacksonville has given up 20 or fewer points in every game so far, though.

As for Houston, they got a nice influx of confidence by beating up on a struggling Titans squad last weekend. The Texans D gave up just 15 first downs, 187 total yards and 4-of-11 on third downs. Offensively it was 20 first downs and 329 total yards. Houston will likely be outclassed here if the Jags play well.