The Detroit Red Wings are visiting the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday, April 17th at the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction. We will examine:
The Toronto Maple Leafs recent form and player performance
The Detroit Red Wings recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Red Wings
Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs game
Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs have 106 points this season with a 51-26-4 record and are sitting in the first place of the Atlantic. They have a 26-13-1 home record and are 41-40 against the spread and 37-40-4 in over/under. The Leafs are coming off a 4-0 road victory over the Buffalo Sabres, and now have four consecutive wins against the Sabres, Hurricanes, Canadiens and the Lightning. Toronto is red-hot with just one loss in their last nine games and are 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games.
Offensively, the Leafs are averaging 3.26 goals per game and are scoring 25% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Leafs are allowing 2.81 goals per game and are killing 78.1% of their opponent’s power plays. Mitch Marner leads Toronto with 100 points and a team-high 73 assists, while William Nylander follows with 84 points and a team-high 45 goals. Joseph Woll is likely in net for the Leafs, and he has a 26-15 record, with 2.77 GAA and 90.7% saving percentage.
Detroit Red Wings Preview
The Detroit Red Wings have 85 points this season with a 39-35-7 record and are sitting on the 6th place of the Atlantic. They have a 17-19-4 road record and are 47-34 against the spread and 39-36-6 in over/under. The Red Wings are coming off a 5-2 road victory over the New Jersey Devils last night, and now have three consecutive wins over the Devils, Stars and the Lightning.
Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.90 goals per game and are scoring 26.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Red Wings are allowing 3.15 goals per game and are killing 69.8% of their opponent’s power plays. Lucas Raymond leads Detroit with 80 points and a team-high 53 assists, while Dylan Larkin follows with 70 points, 40 assists and 30 goals. Cam Talbot is likely in net for the Red Wings, and he has a 21-23 record, with 2.88 GAA and 90.3% saving percentage.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Red Wings have lost seven of their last eight road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Red Wings have lost the third period in five of their last six games following a road win.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Red Wings have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a road win.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in five of their last six games as home favorites when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Red Wings’ last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.25).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.00%).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (69.78%).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.81%).
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Leafs are 2-1 against the Red Wings this season, having won their previous meeting in Toronto by 3-1. The Red Wings are 5-3 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Leafs, and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Toronto. Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Toronto is coming as -140 home favorites. The Leafs are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, and have been extremely strong at home. Even though Toronto has the top seed of the Atlantic locked up, they are facing a Red Wings team on the second leg of a back-to-back, and I do not expect them to let this one slide, as they will want to keep the momentum going for the upcoming playoffs. Take the Leafs to take care of business at home in this one.