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Flyers vs Sabres Prediction 4/17/25 NHL Picks Today

Flyers vs Sabres
April 17, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Flyers +125 / Sabres -150 / Over/under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Flyers are visiting the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, April 17th at the KeyBank Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Flyers vs Sabres Prediction. We will examine:

The Buffalo Sabres recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Flyers recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Buffalo Sabres

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Flyers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres game

Buffalo Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres have 77 points this season with a 35-39-7 record and are sitting on the third to last place of the Eastern Conference. They have a 22-15-3 home record and are 43-38 against the spread and 45-29-7 in over/under. The Sabres are coming off a 0-4 home defeat by the Toronto Maple Leafs, and have four consecutive losses by the Leafs, Lightning, Panthers and the Blue Jackets. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.26 goals per game and are scoring 18.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Sabres are allowing 3.52 goals per game and are killing 76.5% of their opponent’s power plays. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 72 points and a team-high 44 goals. Ukko Pekka-Luukonen is likely in net for the Sabres, and he has a 24-29 record, with 3.22 GAA and 88.6% saving percentage.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers have 76 points this season with a 33-38-10 record and are sitting on the second to last place of the East. They have a 13-18-9 road record and are 40-41 against the spread and 39-40-2 in over/under. The Flyers are coming off a 0-3 home defeat by the Columbus Blue Jackets, which was their second consecutive loss, after a 3-4 loss in Ottawa on Sunday. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 14.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Flyers are allowing 3.47 goals per game and are killing 77.5% of their opponent’s power plays. Travis Konecny leads Philadelphia with 75 points and a team-high 51 assists, while Konecny, Michkov and Foerster lead the Flyers with 24 goals apiece. Samuel Ersson is likely in net for the Flyers, and he has a 22-22 record, with 3.11 GAA and 88.4% saving percentage.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Flyers have lost each of their last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Sabres have won seven of their last eight games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
  • The Flyers have lost the first period in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The Flyers have won each of their last three games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Sabres have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The Sabres have lost the second period in each of their last seven night games following a loss.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Sabres’ last eight games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Flyers’ last four night games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Sabres’ last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Flyers’ last six games at KeyBank Center.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.49).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 2nd in the league in penalty minutes this season (833).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.62%).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.43).

Flyers vs Sabres Prediction

Philadelphia has won both meetings against Buffalo this season, both at home, by 7-4 and 5-2. The Flyers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and over is 6-2-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Flyers vs Sabres Prediction, Buffalo is coming as -150 home favorites. The Sabres are rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been very good at home, while the Flyers have been struggling on the road. Both teams have nothing to play for and both are coming into this matchup in poor form, I expect the home team to prevail and take revenge for both previous losses this season. Take the Buffalo Sabres on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Buffalo Sabres ML

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